The Conversation

Bayes’ Theorem: the maths tool we probably use every day, but what is it?

Our world view and resultant actions are often driven by a simple theorem, devised in secret more than 150 years ago by a quiet English mathematician and theologian, Thomas Bayes, and only published ...
The Guardian

Belief, bias and Bayes

Evidence can modify our beliefs, but the impact it has depends upon those beliefs. An 18th century priest has something to say about that, in what could be seen as a mathematical formulation of the ...
Scientific American

What is Bayes's theorem, and how can it be used to assign probabilities to questions such as the existence of God? What scientific value does it have?

Chris Wiggins, an associate professor of applied mathematics at Columbia University, offers this explanation. A patient goes to see a doctor. The doctor performs a test with 99 percent ...